Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.27
FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBK Karlstad welcome Järfälla for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FBK Karlstad, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gefle IF, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 1.9 xG, Järfälla 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 50%, draw 22%, Järfälla 28%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: FBK Karlstad to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBK Karlstad50%fair 1.99 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
Järfälla28%fair 3.62 · @2.75
3.07Expected goals
1.87FBK Karlstad xG
1.20Järfälla xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.9 – 1.2 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
FBK Karlstad (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Järfälla +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
FBK Karlstad to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
FBK Karlstad ahead at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
FBK Karlstad – last 3
WLW
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Järfälla
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Järfälla.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Järfälla 28%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla?
FBK Karlstad vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
