Umeå FC 49%Draw 23%Gefle IF 28%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.33
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✗49% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Umeå FC vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Umeå FC v Gefle IF in the Ettan Norra, played at Umea Energi Arena. In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Umeå FC, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Karlberg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gefle IF, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FBK Karlstad, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 1.7 xG, Gefle IF 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 49%, draw 23%, Gefle IF 28%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC49%fair 2.04 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.60
Gefle IF28%fair 3.57 · @3.50
2.99Expected goals
1.66Umeå FC xG
1.33Gefle IF xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.7 – 1.3 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
49%
2.04
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Gefle IF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Umeå FC – last 5
WLLLW
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 4
LLWW
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sunnersta
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Lucksta
7–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gefle IF 28%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Gefle IF?
Umeå FC vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
