Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBK Karlstad travel to face Karlberg on Sunday 31 May in the Ettan Norra, with Stadshagens IP the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Karlberg are 10th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; FBK Karlstad are 6th (upper half) with 49. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Karlberg, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stockholm Internazionale, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
FBK Karlstad, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arlanda, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours FBK Karlstad, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Karlberg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karlberg 1.4 xG, FBK Karlstad 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karlberg 37%, draw 24%, FBK Karlstad 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: FBK Karlstad to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karlberg37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
FBK Karlstad39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
2.99Expected goals
1.44Karlberg xG
1.54FBK Karlstad xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karlberg 1.4 – 1.5 FBK Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✗
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Draw no bet
FBK Karlstad (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Karlberg +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
FBK Karlstad to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Karlberg – last 6
LDLWLL
23 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
13 May
@ Arlanda
1–1
D
3 May
@ Umeå FC
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FBK Karlstad – last 6
DDWWLW
23 May
vs Arlanda
0–0
D
17 May
vs Umeå FC
1–1
D
14 May
@ Piteå
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and FBK Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBK Karlstad 39%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad?
Karlberg vs FBK Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
