Umeå FC vs Stocksund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 31 May the Ettan Norra brings Umeå FC against Stocksund at Umea Energi Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Stocksund are 16th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Umeå FC, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to IF Karlstad, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Stocksund, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Assyriska FF, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Umeå FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Stocksund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 2.4 xG, Stocksund 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 64%, draw 20%, Stocksund 16%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 2–1 Stocksund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.60
Stocksund16%fair 6.21 · @5.60
3.67Expected goals
2.42Umeå FC xG
1.25Stocksund xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–18%
2–07%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 2.4 – 1.3 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
Umeå FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.55
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Umeå FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Umeå FC – last 6
LDWDWL
24 May
vs IF Karlstad
0–2
L
17 May
@ FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
DLLDDL
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
17 May
vs Piteå
2–3
L
14 May
@ IF Karlstad
0–1
L
1 May
vs Vasalund
2–2
D
20 Apr
vs AFC Eskilstuna
4–4
D
4 Apr
@ Enköping
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Stocksund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stocksund 16%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Stocksund?
Umeå FC vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
