Arlanda vs Stocksund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stocksund travel to face Arlanda on Thursday 18 June in the Ettan Norra, with Midgardsvallen the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Stocksund are 16th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Järfälla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Stocksund, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Sollentuna, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Stocksund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.6 xG, Stocksund 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 65%, draw 19%, Stocksund 16%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 2–1 Stocksund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda65%fair 1.53 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.60
Stocksund16%fair 6.42 · @4.80
3.91Expected goals
2.64Arlanda xG
1.27Stocksund xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.6 – 1.3 Stocksund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Draw no bet
Arlanda (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Arlanda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
First team to score
Arlanda to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 6
WWLDDD
13 Jun
@ Järfälla
3–2
W
7 Jun
vs Assyriska FF
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–3
L
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stocksund – last 6
DWLDDL
13 Jun
vs Sollentuna
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Järfälla
6–1
W
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
31 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
23 May
vs Assyriska FF
3–3
D
17 May
vs Piteå
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Stocksund.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Arlanda vs Stocksund?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stocksund 16%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Stocksund?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Stocksund?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Stocksund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Stocksund?
Arlanda vs Stocksund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.