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Hammarby Talang v Järfälla: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Hammarby IP
1–1
FT
Hammarby Talang 68%Draw 18%Järfälla 14% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.08
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHammarby Talang to win ✗68% · @1.18
Double chanceHammarby Talang or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Järfälla travel to face Hammarby Talang on Thursday 18 June in the Ettan Norra, with Hammarby IP the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Hammarby Talang are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hammarby Talang, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Karlberg, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Järfälla, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Arlanda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hammarby Talang, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.6 for Järfälla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hammarby Talang 2.3 xG, Järfälla 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hammarby Talang 68%, draw 18%, Järfälla 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hammarby Talang 2–1 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hammarby Talang68%fair 1.47 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @5.80
Järfälla14%fair 7.09 · @12.00
3.39Expected goals
2.31Hammarby Talang xG
1.08Järfälla xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hammarby Talang 2.3 – 1.1 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHammarby Talang to win ✗68%1.471.18
Double chanceHammarby Talang or draw ✓86%1.161.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.67
Draw no betHammarby Talang (draw no bet)83%1.21–
Asian handicapHammarby Talang -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.461.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.95
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.42
First team to scoreHammarby Talang to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultHammarby Talang ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hammarby Talang / FT Hammarby Talang ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Hammarby Talang – last 6

WWLWWD
14 Jun@ Karlberg2–0W
6 Jun@ Gefle IF4–0W
30 Mayvs AFC Eskilstuna1–2L
23 May@ Enköping1–0W
13 May@ Sollentuna2–0W
27 Aprvs Vasalund2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Järfälla – last 5

LLLWL
13 Junvs Arlanda2–3L
8 Junvs Stocksund1–6L
3 Jun@ Vasalund1–3L
23 Mayvs Gefle IF4–0W
13 Mayvs Enköping0–3L
1.6Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hammarby Talang and Järfälla.

Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla?

On our numbers Hammarby Talang have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Järfälla 14%.

How many goals will there be in Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla?

Our predicted score is Hammarby Talang 2–1 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla?

Hammarby Talang vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hammarby IP.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.