Piteå 31%Draw 24%Gefle IF 45%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.71
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultGefle IF to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Piteå vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gefle IF travel to face Piteå on Saturday 1 August in the Ettan Norra, with LF Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Karlberg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Gefle IF, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stocksund, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 1.4 xG, Gefle IF 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 31%, draw 24%, Gefle IF 45%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå31%fair 3.19 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Gefle IF45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
3.07Expected goals
1.36Piteå xG
1.71Gefle IF xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.4 – 1.7 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gefle IF to win✓
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Draw no bet
Gefle IF (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Piteå +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Gefle IF to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Piteå – last 6
LDLLWD
24 Jun
@ Karlberg
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs AFC Eskilstuna
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ Umeå FC
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
3 Jun
@ Ostra Ersboda
3–2
W
31 May
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
WLLDLW
27 Jun
vs Stocksund
2–1
W
18 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ IF Karlstad
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Falu BS
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–4
L
1 Jun
@ Arlanda
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Piteå vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Piteå have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gefle IF 45%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Gefle IF?
Piteå vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
