Stocksund vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stocksund welcome Karlberg to Danderyd IP for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Stocksund are 16th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Stocksund, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sollentuna, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Karlberg, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AFC Eskilstuna, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Karlberg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Stocksund.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stocksund 1.9 xG, Karlberg 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stocksund 37%, draw 22%, Karlberg 41%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stocksund 2–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stocksund37%fair 2.69 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Karlberg41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
3.72Expected goals
1.88Stocksund xG
1.84Karlberg xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Stocksund 1.9 – 1.8 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karlberg to win✓
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.33
Draw no bet
Karlberg (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Karlberg +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
First team to score
Stocksund to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stocksund / FT Stocksund✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Stocksund – last 6
DLLDWL
25 Jul
@ Sollentuna
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Gefle IF
1–2
L
18 Jun
@ Arlanda
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Sollentuna
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Järfälla
6–1
W
4 Jun
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 6
WWWWLW
25 Jul
@ AFC Eskilstuna
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sollentuna
2–1
W
24 Jun
vs Piteå
3–1
W
18 Jun
@ Vasalund
4–0
W
14 Jun
vs Hammarby Talang
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Unik FK
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stocksund and Karlberg.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stocksund vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Stocksund have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karlberg 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stocksund vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stocksund vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Stocksund 2–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Stocksund vs Karlberg?
Stocksund vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Danderyd IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
