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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arlanda v Piteå: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Midgardsvallen

Arlanda

LWWWW
0–0
FT

Piteå

LLDLL
Arlanda 65%Draw 21%Piteå 15% Expected goals 2.24 – 1.06
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultArlanda to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Arlanda vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 9 August the Ettan Norra brings Arlanda against Piteå at Midgardsvallen. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arlanda, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Hammarby Talang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Piteå, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gefle IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Piteå.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Piteå 1–2 Arlanda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.2 xG, Piteå 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 65%, draw 21%, Piteå 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 2–1 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arlanda65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.60
Piteå15%fair 6.74 · @6.40
3.31Expected goals
2.24Arlanda xG
1.06Piteå xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Arlanda 2.2 – 1.1 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArlanda to win ✗65%1.551.36
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.65
Draw no betArlanda (draw no bet)81%1.23–
Asian handicapArlanda -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.571.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.731.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
First team to scoreArlanda to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultArlanda ahead at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arlanda / FT Arlanda ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Arlanda – last 6

LWWWWW
3 Aug@ Hammarby Talang1–5L
25 Julvs Haninge6–1W
27 Junvs IF Karlstad1–0W
23 Jun@ Järfälla2–0W
18 Junvs Stocksund1–0W
13 Jun@ Järfälla3–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Piteå – last 6

LLDLLW
1 Augvs Gefle IF0–2L
24 Jun@ Karlberg1–3L
21 Junvs AFC Eskilstuna2–2D
12 Jun@ Umeå FC0–2L
7 Junvs Enköping0–2L
3 Jun@ Ostra Ersboda3–2W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Piteå v Arlanda1–2
Arlanda vs Piteå head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arlanda vs Piteå?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Arlanda vs Piteå?

On our numbers Arlanda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piteå 15%.

How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Piteå?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Piteå?

Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Arlanda vs Piteå?

Arlanda vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.