Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultArlanda to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Arlanda vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the Ettan Norra brings Arlanda against Piteå at Midgardsvallen. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Hammarby Talang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Piteå, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gefle IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Piteå.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Piteå 1–2 Arlanda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.2 xG, Piteå 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 65%, draw 21%, Piteå 15%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 2–1 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.60
Piteå15%fair 6.74 · @6.40
3.31Expected goals
2.24Arlanda xG
1.06Piteå xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.2 – 1.1 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Arlanda vs Piteå?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piteå 15%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Piteå?
Arlanda vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.