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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Umeå FC v AFC Eskilstuna: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Umea Energi Arena
1–3
FT
Umeå FC 39%Draw 23%AFC Eskilstuna 38% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.59
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2

Value bet: AFC Eskilstuna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUmeå FC to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Eskilstuna travel to face Umeå FC on Sunday 9 August in the Ettan Norra, with Umea Energi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; AFC Eskilstuna are 4th (among the top four) with 53.

Current form

Umeå FC, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Eskilstuna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

AFC Eskilstuna, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Umeå FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours AFC Eskilstuna, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Umeå FC.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended AFC Eskilstuna 1–0 Umeå FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 1.6 xG, AFC Eskilstuna 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 39%, draw 23%, AFC Eskilstuna 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.38.
  • Price worth noting: AFC Eskilstuna to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 1–1 AFC Eskilstuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Umeå FC39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.80
AFC Eskilstuna38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
3.14Expected goals
1.55Umeå FC xG
1.59AFC Eskilstuna xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.6 – 1.6 AFC Eskilstuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUmeå FC to win ✗39%2.542.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.38
Draw no betUmeå FC (draw no bet) ✗51%1.96–
Asian handicapUmeå FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.721.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
First team to scoreAFC Eskilstuna to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Eskilstuna / FT AFC Eskilstuna ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.08–

Recent results

Umeå FC – last 6

LWLLWD
2 Aug@ AFC Eskilstuna0–1L
26 Julvs Täfteå1–0W
28 Junvs Järfälla1–3L
21 Jun@ Enköping1–3L
12 Junvs Piteå2–0W
7 Jun@ Sollentuna1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AFC Eskilstuna – last 6

WLWWDW
2 Augvs Umeå FC1–0W
25 Julvs Karlberg1–2L
19 Julvs Assyriska FF3–2W
26 Jun@ Sollentuna4–1W
21 Jun@ Piteå2–2D
14 Junvs Assyriska FF1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026AFC Eskilstuna v Umeå FC1–0
Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

On our numbers Umeå FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Eskilstuna 38%.

How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 AFC Eskilstuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Umeå FC vs AFC Eskilstuna (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.