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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gefle IF v Umeå FC: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Gavlevallen
2–0
FT
Gefle IF 45%Draw 20%Umeå FC 35% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.45
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultGefle IF to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Gefle IF vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gefle IF welcome Umeå FC to Gavlevallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 15 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, Gefle IF are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gefle IF, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Stocksund, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Umeå FC, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to AFC Eskilstuna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Umeå FC 2–2 Gefle IF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gefle IF 1.7 xG, Umeå FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gefle IF 45%, draw 20%, Umeå FC 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gefle IF 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gefle IF45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.65
Umeå FC35%fair 2.88 · @2.85
3.15Expected goals
1.70Gefle IF xG
1.45Umeå FC xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Gefle IF 1.7 – 1.5 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGefle IF to win ✓45%2.212.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.45
Draw no betGefle IF (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapUmeå FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
First team to scoreGefle IF to score first ✓52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF ✓26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Gefle IF – last 6

LWWLLD
8 Aug@ Stocksund0–5L
1 Aug@ Piteå2–0W
27 Junvs Stocksund2–1W
18 Junvs Stockholm Internazionale0–2L
13 Jun@ IF Karlstad0–2L
10 Jun@ Falu BS0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Umeå FC – last 6

LLWLLW
9 Augvs AFC Eskilstuna1–3L
2 Aug@ AFC Eskilstuna0–1L
26 Julvs Täfteå1–0W
28 Junvs Järfälla1–3L
21 Jun@ Enköping1–3L
12 Junvs Piteå2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Umeå FC v Gefle IF2–2
Gefle IF vs Umeå FC head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gefle IF vs Umeå FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Gefle IF vs Umeå FC?

On our numbers Gefle IF have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Umeå FC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Umeå FC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Umeå FC?

Our predicted score is Gefle IF 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Gefle IF vs Umeå FC?

Gefle IF vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.