Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Sollentuna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSollentuna to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Sollentuna vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Sollentuna v Järfälla in the Ettan Norra, played at Sollentunavallen. In the table, Sollentuna are 12th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Sollentuna, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Assyriska FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Järfälla, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to IF Karlstad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sollentuna 2.0 xG, Järfälla 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sollentuna 60%, draw 18%, Järfälla 21%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Sollentuna to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sollentuna 1–1 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sollentuna60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.65
Järfälla21%fair 4.69 · @3.10
3.01Expected goals
1.97Sollentuna xG
1.05Järfälla xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sollentuna 2.0 – 1.0 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sollentuna to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.48
Draw no bet
Sollentuna (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Järfälla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sollentuna to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Sollentuna ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sollentuna / FT Sollentuna✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Sollentuna – last 6
LDDLLL
9 Aug
@ Assyriska FF
0–3
L
3 Aug
@ Vasalund
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Stocksund
1–1
D
21 Jul
vs Karlberg
1–2
L
26 Jun
vs AFC Eskilstuna
1–4
L
18 Jun
vs FBK Karlstad
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Järfälla – last 6
LLWLDL
8 Aug
vs IF Karlstad
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs Stockholm Internazionale
0–4
L
28 Jun
@ Umeå FC
3–1
W
23 Jun
vs Arlanda
0–2
L
18 Jun
@ Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Arlanda
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sollentuna and Järfälla.
What is the prediction for Sollentuna vs Järfälla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sollentuna vs Järfälla?
On our numbers Sollentuna have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Järfälla 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sollentuna vs Järfälla?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sollentuna vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is Sollentuna 1–1 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sollentuna vs Järfälla?
Sollentuna vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sollentunavallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
