Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓64% · @1.52
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
FBK Karlstad vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBK Karlstad welcome Piteå for a Ettan Norra fixture on Sunday 30 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FBK Karlstad, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Arlanda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Piteå, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hammarby Talang, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours FBK Karlstad, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Piteå.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Piteå 1–5 FBK Karlstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 2.1 xG, Piteå 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 64%, draw 21%, Piteå 15%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 2–0 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBK Karlstad64%fair 1.57 · @1.52
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
Piteå15%fair 6.75 · @4.90
3.00Expected goals
2.09FBK Karlstad xG
0.91Piteå xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 2.1 – 0.9 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piteå 15%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 2–0 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Piteå?
FBK Karlstad vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
