Umeå FC 39%Draw 20%Vasalund 40%Expected goals 1.61 – 1.64
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Vasalund to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVasalund to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Umeå FC vs Vasalund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Umeå FC welcome Vasalund to Umea Energi Arena for a Ettan Norra fixture on Sunday 30 August (12:45 WAT). In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Vasalund are 13th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Umeå FC, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Enköping, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Vasalund, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Stocksund, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vasalund, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Umeå FC.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Vasalund 3–1 Umeå FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 1.6 xG, Vasalund 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 39%, draw 20%, Vasalund 40%.
Price worth noting: Vasalund to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 1–2 Vasalund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.55
Vasalund40%fair 2.47 · @2.75
3.25Expected goals
1.61Umeå FC xG
1.64Vasalund xG
55%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.6 – 1.6 Vasalund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Vasalund?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vasalund 40%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Vasalund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Vasalund?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–2 Vasalund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Vasalund?
Umeå FC vs Vasalund (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
