Arlanda 60%Draw 17%Umeå FC 23%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArlanda to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Arlanda vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Umeå FC travel to face Arlanda on Sunday 6 September in the Ettan Norra, with Midgardsvallen the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Stocksund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Umeå FC, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vasalund, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Umeå FC 0–1 Arlanda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 1.9 xG, Umeå FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 60%, draw 17%, Umeå FC 23%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Arlanda to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @3.75
Umeå FC23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
3.03Expected goals
1.94Arlanda xG
1.09Umeå FC xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Arlanda 1.9 – 1.1 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Umeå FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Umeå FC?
Arlanda vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
