Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Karlberg to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKarlberg to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Piteå vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Ettan Norra brings Piteå against Karlberg at LF Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to FBK Karlstad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Karlberg, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hammarby Talang, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Karlberg, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Piteå.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Jun 2026) it ended Karlberg 3–1 Piteå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 1.1 xG, Karlberg 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 23%, draw 17%, Karlberg 60%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Karlberg to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå23%fair 4.33 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.40
Karlberg60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
3.08Expected goals
1.10Piteå xG
1.98Karlberg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.1 – 2.0 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Piteå vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Piteå have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Karlberg 60%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Karlberg?
Piteå vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
