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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gefle IF v Järfälla: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Gavlevallen
3–1
FT
Gefle IF 64%Draw 23%Järfälla 13% Expected goals 2.27 – 0.98
64%
Betarazi pick

Gefle IF to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultGefle IF to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceGefle IF or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Gefle IF vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gefle IF welcome Järfälla to Gavlevallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Gefle IF are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gefle IF, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sollentuna, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Järfälla, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FBK Karlstad, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gefle IF, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Järfälla.

Head to head

When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Järfälla 4–0 Gefle IF.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gefle IF 2.3 xG, Järfälla 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gefle IF 64%, draw 23%, Järfälla 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gefle IF or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gefle IF to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gefle IF 2–0 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gefle IF64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Järfälla13%fair 7.82 · @4.20
3.25Expected goals
2.27Gefle IF xG
0.98Järfälla xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Gefle IF 2.3 – 1.0 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGefle IF to win ✓64%1.561.65 ▲
Double chanceGefle IF or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.62
Draw no betGefle IF (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapGefle IF -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreGefle IF to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultGefle IF ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Gefle IF – last 6

LDWWLW
5 Sep@ Sollentuna0–1L
29 Augvs IF Karlstad2–2D
23 Aug@ Assyriska FF2–1W
15 Augvs Umeå FC2–0W
8 Aug@ Stocksund0–5L
1 Aug@ Piteå2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Järfälla – last 6

LLLLLL
5 Sepvs FBK Karlstad0–3L
29 Augvs Assyriska FF0–2L
21 Aug@ Stockholm Internazionale0–2L
15 Aug@ Sollentuna1–2L
8 Augvs IF Karlstad1–4L
1 Augvs Stockholm Internazionale0–4L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Järfälla v Gefle IF4–0
Gefle IF vs Järfälla head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gefle IF vs Järfälla?

Our pick is Gefle IF to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Gefle IF vs Järfälla?

On our numbers Gefle IF have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Järfälla 13%.

How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Järfälla?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Järfälla?

Our predicted score is Gefle IF 2–0 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Gefle IF vs Järfälla?

Gefle IF vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.