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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karlberg v Arlanda: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Stadshagens IP
1–0
FT

Arlanda

LWWLL
Karlberg 38%Draw 21%Arlanda 41% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultArlanda to win ✗41% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Karlberg vs Arlanda: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karlberg welcome Arlanda to Stadshagens IP for a Ettan Norra fixture on Saturday 12 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Karlberg are 10th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Arlanda are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Karlberg, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Piteå, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Arlanda, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Umeå FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Arlanda 1–1 Karlberg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karlberg 1.4 xG, Arlanda 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karlberg 38%, draw 21%, Arlanda 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlberg 1–1 Arlanda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karlberg38%fair 2.65 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Arlanda41%fair 2.44 · @2.38
2.93Expected goals
1.43Karlberg xG
1.50Arlanda xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Karlberg 1.4 – 1.5 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArlanda to win ✗41%2.442.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.44
Draw no betArlanda (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapKarlberg +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreArlanda to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arlanda / FT Arlanda ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Karlberg – last 6

LDLWWL
6 Sep@ Piteå0–3L
31 Aug@ Hammarby Talang0–0D
23 Augvs AFC Eskilstuna0–3L
18 Augvs IK brage2–0W
15 Augvs Stocksund2–0W
7 Aug@ Enköping1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arlanda – last 6

LWWLLD
6 Sepvs Umeå FC1–2L
29 Aug@ Stocksund3–2W
23 Augvs FBK Karlstad5–1W
20 Augvs Ostersunds FK1–2L
16 Aug@ Stockholm Internazionale1–4L
9 Augvs Piteå0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Arlanda v Karlberg1–1
Karlberg vs Arlanda head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karlberg vs Arlanda?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Karlberg vs Arlanda?

On our numbers Karlberg have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arlanda 41%.

How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs Arlanda?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Arlanda?

Our predicted score is Karlberg 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Karlberg vs Arlanda?

Karlberg vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadshagens IP.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.