AFC Eskilstuna 63%Draw 22%Gefle IF 15%Expected goals 2.16 – 1.00
85%
Betarazi pick
AFC Eskilstuna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Eskilstuna to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Eskilstuna to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceAFC Eskilstuna or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: AFC Eskilstuna v Gefle IF in the Ettan Norra, played at Tunavallen. In the table, AFC Eskilstuna are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AFC Eskilstuna, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Assyriska FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Gefle IF, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arlanda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Eskilstuna, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Gefle IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Eskilstuna 2.2 xG, Gefle IF 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Eskilstuna 63%, draw 22%, Gefle IF 15%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Eskilstuna or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: AFC Eskilstuna to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AFC Eskilstuna or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Eskilstuna 2–0 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Eskilstuna63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.50
Gefle IF15%fair 6.56 · @3.90
3.16Expected goals
2.16AFC Eskilstuna xG
1.00Gefle IF xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: AFC Eskilstuna 2.2 – 1.0 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Eskilstuna to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
AFC Eskilstuna or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
AFC Eskilstuna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
AFC Eskilstuna to score first✗
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
AFC Eskilstuna ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Eskilstuna / FT AFC Eskilstuna✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
AFC Eskilstuna – last 6
WWWWWD
17 Sep
@ Assyriska FF
5–2
W
13 Sep
vs Piteå
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ IF Karlstad
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Sollentuna
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Karlberg
3–0
W
18 Aug
vs Oddevold
3–3
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
LWLDWW
16 Sep
vs Arlanda
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Järfälla
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sollentuna
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs IF Karlstad
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Assyriska FF
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Umeå FC
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Eskilstuna and Gefle IF.
What is the prediction for AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
Our pick is AFC Eskilstuna or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers AFC Eskilstuna have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gefle IF 15%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is AFC Eskilstuna 2–0 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF?
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tunavallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.