Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPiteå to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Piteå vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Ettan Norra brings Piteå against Järfälla at LF Arena. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Piteå are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piteå, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Umeå FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Järfälla, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Karlberg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piteå 2.0 xG, Järfälla 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piteå 54%, draw 21%, Järfälla 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piteå 1–1 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piteå54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.50
Järfälla25%fair 4.03 · @3.00
3.25Expected goals
1.97Piteå xG
1.28Järfälla xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Piteå 2.0 – 1.3 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Piteå to win✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Draw no bet
Piteå (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Järfälla +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Piteå to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Piteå ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Piteå / FT Piteå✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Piteå – last 6
LLWLDL
16 Sep
vs Umeå FC
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Karlberg
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ FBK Karlstad
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs AIK Stockholm
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Järfälla – last 6
WLLLLL
17 Sep
vs Karlberg
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Gefle IF
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs FBK Karlstad
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Sollentuna
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and Järfälla.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Piteå vs Järfälla?
On our numbers Piteå have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Järfälla 25%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Järfälla?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is Piteå 1–1 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Järfälla?
Piteå vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
