Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultArlanda to win ✗67% · @1.53
Double chanceArlanda or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Arlanda vs Järfälla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Arlanda v Järfälla in the Ettan Norra, played at Midgardsvallen. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Järfälla are 15th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to IF Karlstad, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Järfälla, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Umeå FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Järfälla.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jun 2026) it ended Järfälla 0–2 Arlanda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Arlanda 2 wins, Järfälla 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.3 xG, Järfälla 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 67%, draw 19%, Järfälla 14%.
Lower-risk option: Arlanda or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arlanda to win (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 2–0 Järfälla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Järfälla14%fair 6.95 · @4.50
3.23Expected goals
2.27Arlanda xG
0.96Järfälla xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.3 – 1.0 Järfälla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Arlanda to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Arlanda vs Järfälla?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Järfälla 14%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Järfälla?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 2–0 Järfälla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Järfälla?
Arlanda vs Järfälla (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
