Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Ettan Norra brings FBK Karlstad against Karlberg. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FBK Karlstad, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Assyriska FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Karlberg, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vasalund, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 2.1 xG, Karlberg 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 64%, draw 21%, Karlberg 15%.
Lower-risk option: FBK Karlstad or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: FBK Karlstad to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FBK Karlstad or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBK Karlstad64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Karlberg15%fair 6.83 · @3.70
3.02Expected goals
2.11FBK Karlstad xG
0.91Karlberg xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 2.1 – 0.9 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
Our pick is FBK Karlstad or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlberg 15%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?
FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.