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FBK Karlstad v Karlberg: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden
3–1
FT
FBK Karlstad 64%Draw 21%Karlberg 15% Expected goals 2.11 – 0.91
85%
Betarazi pick

FBK Karlstad or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: FBK Karlstad to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the Ettan Norra brings FBK Karlstad against Karlberg. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FBK Karlstad, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Assyriska FF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Karlberg, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vasalund, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Karlberg 1–1 FBK Karlstad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 2.1 xG, Karlberg 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 64%, draw 21%, Karlberg 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: FBK Karlstad or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: FBK Karlstad to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FBK Karlstad or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FBK Karlstad64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Karlberg15%fair 6.83 · @3.70
3.02Expected goals
2.11FBK Karlstad xG
0.91Karlberg xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 2.1 – 0.9 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFBK Karlstad to win ✓64%1.561.75 ▲
Double chanceFBK Karlstad or draw ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.50
Draw no betFBK Karlstad (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapFBK Karlstad -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreFBK Karlstad to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultFBK Karlstad ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

FBK Karlstad – last 6

LDWDDW
11 Oct@ Assyriska FF0–1L
3 Octvs AFC Eskilstuna2–2D
27 Sep@ Umeå FC3–1W
19 Sepvs Sollentuna0–0D
16 Sep@ IF Karlstad0–0D
12 Sepvs Vasalund2–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Karlberg – last 6

DWDLLW
10 Octvs Vasalund3–3D
2 Octvs Sollentuna3–2W
27 Sep@ IF Karlstad1–1D
20 Sepvs Stockholm Internazionale0–2L
17 Sep@ Järfälla0–5L
12 Sepvs Arlanda1–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Karlberg v FBK Karlstad1–1
FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?

Our pick is FBK Karlstad or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?

On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlberg 15%.

How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?

Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 2–0 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg?

FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.