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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gefle IF v Karlberg: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Gavlevallen
7–0
FT
Gefle IF 62%Draw 16%Karlberg 23% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.03
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1

Value bet: Gefle IF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGefle IF to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Gefle IF vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karlberg travel to face Gefle IF on Sunday 8 November in the Ettan Norra, with Gavlevallen the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gefle IF are 9th, lower half, on 41 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37.

Current form

Gefle IF, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hammarby Talang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Karlberg, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Assyriska FF, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gefle IF 2.0 xG, Karlberg 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gefle IF 62%, draw 16%, Karlberg 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Gefle IF to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gefle IF 1–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gefle IF62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @3.62
Karlberg23%fair 4.43 · @3.32
2.98Expected goals
1.95Gefle IF xG
1.03Karlberg xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Gefle IF 2.0 – 1.0 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGefle IF to win ✓62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.181.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Draw no betGefle IF (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapKarlberg +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.15
First team to scoreGefle IF to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultGefle IF ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF ✓37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Gefle IF – last 6

WWDDLL
1 Nov@ Hammarby Talang2–0W
24 Octvs FBK Karlstad1–0W
17 Oct@ Stockholm Internazionale1–1D
11 Octvs Piteå3–3D
3 Oct@ Enköping0–1L
27 Sepvs Vasalund0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Karlberg – last 6

WDLDWD
1 Novvs Assyriska FF2–0W
25 Octvs Umeå FC1–1D
17 Oct@ FBK Karlstad1–3L
10 Octvs Vasalund3–3D
2 Octvs Sollentuna3–2W
27 Sep@ IF Karlstad1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gefle IF and Karlberg.

Gefle IF vs Karlberg head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gefle IF vs Karlberg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Gefle IF vs Karlberg?

On our numbers Gefle IF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Karlberg 23%.

How many goals will there be in Gefle IF vs Karlberg?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gefle IF vs Karlberg?

Our predicted score is Gefle IF 1–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Gefle IF vs Karlberg?

Gefle IF vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gavlevallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.