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IF Karlstad v Umeå FC: numbers & prediction

Ettan Norra · Sweden · Sola Arena
2–2
FT
IF Karlstad 61%Draw 19%Umeå FC 20% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.02
61%
Betarazi pick

IF Karlstad to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultIF Karlstad to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.47
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04

IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Umeå FC travel to face IF Karlstad on Sunday 8 November in the Ettan Norra, with Sola Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, IF Karlstad are 7th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

IF Karlstad, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vasalund, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Umeå FC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sollentuna, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Umeå FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for IF Karlstad.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Umeå FC 0–2 IF Karlstad.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IF Karlstad 2.0 xG, Umeå FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IF Karlstad 61%, draw 19%, Umeå FC 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.47.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was IF Karlstad to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: IF Karlstad 2–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IF Karlstad61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.05
Umeå FC20%fair 4.99 · @3.42
3.01Expected goals
1.99IF Karlstad xG
1.02Umeå FC xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: IF Karlstad 2.0 – 1.0 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIF Karlstad to win ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.47
Draw no betIF Karlstad (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapUmeå FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.19
First team to scoreIF Karlstad to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultIF Karlstad ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT IF Karlstad / FT IF Karlstad ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.04–

Recent results

IF Karlstad – last 6

LLLWDD
1 Nov@ Vasalund1–2L
24 Octvs Stockholm Internazionale1–4L
18 Oct@ Hammarby Talang1–2L
10 Octvs Arlanda3–0W
3 Oct@ Piteå1–1D
27 Sepvs Karlberg1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Umeå FC – last 6

WDWWWL
1 Novvs Sollentuna3–0W
25 Oct@ Karlberg1–1D
18 Octvs Assyriska FF3–1W
11 Oct@ Järfälla2–1W
4 Octvs Hammarby Talang2–1W
27 Sepvs FBK Karlstad1–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Umeå FC v IF Karlstad0–2
IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC head-to-head page →

Ettan Norra table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale302145+4767
2Enköping301749+455
3Arlanda301668+1654
4AFC Eskilstuna301659+1453
5Hammarby Talang301578+2552
6FBK Karlstad301479+649
7IF Karlstad301299+1045
8Umeå FC3012711-143
9Gefle IF3012513-441
10Karlberg3010713-1537
11Assyriska FF3010515-835
12Sollentuna3081012-934
13Vasalund309714-2034
14Piteå306915-2027
15Järfälla306618-2224
16Stocksund304620-2318

More Ettan Norra predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

Our pick is IF Karlstad to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

On our numbers IF Karlstad have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Umeå FC 20%.

How many goals will there be in IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

Our predicted score is IF Karlstad 2–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC?

IF Karlstad vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sola Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.