Nublense 39%Draw 27%A. Italiano 33%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNublense to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.14
Nublense vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Primera División brings Nublense against A. Italiano at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; A. Italiano are 13th (lower half) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.1 xG, A. Italiano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 39%, draw 27%, A. Italiano 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: A. Italiano to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–1 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense39%fair 2.53 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
A. Italiano33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.13Nublense xG
1.02A. Italiano xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.1 – 1.0 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win✓
39%
2.53
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Nublense (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
A. Italiano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Nublense to score first✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nublense / FT Nublense✓
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.14
–
Recent results
Nublense
No recent results on record.
A. Italiano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nublense vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers Nublense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and A. Italiano 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs A. Italiano?
Nublense vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
