Union La Calera 43%Draw 27%Nublense 31%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.92
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Union La Calera vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nublense travel to face Union La Calera on Friday 20 February in the Primera División, with Municipal Nicolas Chahuan the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union La Calera are 16th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.3 xG, Nublense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 43%, draw 27%, Nublense 31%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Union La Calera to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–0 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union La Calera43%fair 2.34 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Nublense31%fair 3.27 · @2.65
2.18Expected goals
1.26Union La Calera xG
0.92Nublense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.3 – 0.9 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✗
43%
2.34
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Union La Calera (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Nublense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Union La Calera to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Recent results
Union La Calera – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Colo Colo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs A. Italiano
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Nublense?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nublense 31%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Union La Calera vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
