Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCobresal to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Cobresal vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cobresal welcome D. La Serena to El Cobre for a Primera División fixture on Friday 27 February (22:00 WAT). In the table, Cobresal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobresal 1.4 xG, D. La Serena 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobresal 43%, draw 25%, D. La Serena 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: D. La Serena to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobresal 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobresal43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
D. La Serena32%fair 3.13 · @3.35
2.73Expected goals
1.42Cobresal xG
1.31D. La Serena xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cobresal 1.4 – 1.3 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobresal to win✗
43%
2.35
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Cobresal (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
D. La Serena +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Cobresal to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobresal / FT Cobresal✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Cobresal – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Concepción
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs U. Catolica
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
D. La Serena – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobresal and D. La Serena.
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cobresal vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Cobresal have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and D. La Serena 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cobresal vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobresal vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Cobresal 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cobresal vs D. La Serena?
Cobresal vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at El Cobre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
