D. La Serena 41%Draw 27%Union La Calera 32%Expected goals 1.21 – 1.04
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultD. La Serena to win ✓41% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
D. La Serena vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
D. La Serena welcome Union La Calera to La Portada for a Primera División fixture on Friday 6 March (22:00 WAT). In the table, D. La Serena are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union La Calera, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over A. Italiano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 1.2 xG, Union La Calera 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 41%, draw 27%, Union La Calera 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 1–1 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
D. La Serena41%fair 2.45 · @2.24
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10
Union La Calera32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.21D. La Serena xG
1.04Union La Calera xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.2 – 1.0 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. La Serena to win✓
41%
2.45
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.90
Draw no bet
D. La Serena (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Union La Calera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
D. La Serena to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
D. La Serena – last 2
WD
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs A. Italiano
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Nublense
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Colo Colo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. La Serena and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union La Calera 32%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Union La Calera?
D. La Serena vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at La Portada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
