Nublense vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
D. La Serena travel to face Nublense on Monday 16 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nublense, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Concepción, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
D. La Serena, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Union La Calera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.4 xG, D. La Serena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 47%, draw 26%, D. La Serena 26%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense47%fair 2.12 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
D. La Serena26%fair 3.78 · @3.90
2.50Expected goals
1.37Nublense xG
1.13D. La Serena xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.4 – 1.1 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win✗
47%
2.12
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Nublense (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
D. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nublense to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nublense / FT Nublense✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Nublense – last 4
WLWW
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs A. Italiano
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
D. La Serena – last 3
WWD
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and D. La Serena.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Nublense vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Nublense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and D. La Serena 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs D. La Serena?
Nublense vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
