Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 2.58 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEverton de Vina to win ✗42% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Everton de Vina vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Everton de Vina v Nublense in the Primera División, played at Estadio Sausalito. In the table, Everton de Vina are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Everton de Vina, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportes Limache, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Nublense, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Universidad de Concepcion, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nublense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Everton de Vina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton de Vina 1.5 xG, Nublense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton de Vina 42%, draw 25%, Nublense 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Everton de Vina to win @2.58 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton de Vina 1–1 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton de Vina42%fair 2.38 · @2.58
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.15
Nublense33%fair 3.00 · @2.58
2.63Expected goals
1.51Everton de Vina xG
1.12Nublense xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Everton de Vina 1.5 – 1.1 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton de Vina to win✗
42%
2.38
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Everton de Vina (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Nublense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Everton de Vina to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton de Vina / FT Everton de Vina✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Everton de Vina – last 6
LLWDWL
1 Apr
vs Deportes Limache
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Palestino
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ U. Catolica
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ A. Italiano
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
WWDDWL
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton de Vina and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
On our numbers Everton de Vina have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nublense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Everton de Vina 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Everton de Vina vs Nublense?
Everton de Vina vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sausalito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
