D. La Serena 41%Draw 25%Everton de Vina 35%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.33
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36
8/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultD. La Serena to win41% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.57
D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: D. La Serena v Everton de Vina in the Primera División, played at Estadio La Portada. In the table, D. La Serena are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Everton de Vina are 5th (upper half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
D. La Serena, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to A. Italiano, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Everton de Vina, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nublense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 1.4 xG, Everton de Vina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 41%, draw 25%, Everton de Vina 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Everton de Vina to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 1–1 Everton de Vina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
D. La Serena41%fair 2.46 · @2.16
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.20
Everton de Vina35%fair 2.89 · @3.15
2.77Expected goals
1.44D. La Serena xG
1.33Everton de Vina xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.3 Everton de Vina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. La Serena to win
41%
2.46
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
D. La Serena (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Everton de Vina +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
D. La Serena to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
D. La Serena – last 6
LDDWWD
26 Mar
@ A. Italiano
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Nublense
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Everton de Vina – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Apr
vs Nublense
0–0
D
1 Apr
vs Deportes Limache
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Palestino
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ U. Catolica
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. La Serena and Everton de Vina.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Everton de Vina 35%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Everton de Vina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
