Nublense 29%Draw 25%Universidad de Chile 46%Expected goals 1.00 – 1.49
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad de Chile to win @ 2.68 – our chance 46% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win46% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.87
Nublense vs Universidad de Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad de Chile travel to face Nublense on Sunday 12 April in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Universidad de Chile are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nublense, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Everton de Vina, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Universidad de Chile, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over A. Italiano, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nublense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Universidad de Chile.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.0 xG, Universidad de Chile 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 29%, draw 25%, Universidad de Chile 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Universidad de Chile to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 0–1 Universidad de Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense29%fair 3.39 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Universidad de Chile46%fair 2.19 · @2.68
2.49Expected goals
1.00Nublense xG
1.49Universidad de Chile xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.0 – 1.5 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win
46%
2.19
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Universidad de Chile (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Nublense +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Universidad de Chile to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad de Chile – last 6
WLDDLD
31 Mar
@ A. Italiano
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Union La Calera
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Palestino
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and Universidad de Chile.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
On our numbers Nublense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universidad de Chile 46%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Our predicted score is Nublense 0–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Nublense vs Universidad de Chile (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
