Union La Calera 41%Draw 28%Concepción 30%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.04
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.72
Union La Calera vs Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Union La Calera v Concepción in the Primera División, played at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. In the table, Union La Calera are 16th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 27 matches; Concepción are 8th (upper half) with 38. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union La Calera, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universidad de Chile, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Concepción, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union La Calera, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Concepción.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.2 xG, Concepción 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 41%, draw 28%, Concepción 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–1 Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union La Calera41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @3.20
Concepción30%fair 3.30 · @3.30
2.22Expected goals
1.18Union La Calera xG
1.04Concepción xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.2 – 1.0 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✓
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Union La Calera (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Concepción +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Union La Calera to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.72
–
Recent results
Union La Calera – last 6
WLDLWL
24 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs O'Higgins
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ D. La Serena
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs A. Italiano
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Nublense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Concepción – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Mar
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Colo Colo
1–3
L
14 Mar
@ A. Italiano
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Nublense
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Cobresal
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Concepción?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Concepción 30%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Union La Calera vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
