Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗60% · @1.43
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✗84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: U. Catolica v Union La Calera in the Primera División, played at Claro Arena. In the table, U. Catolica are 3rd, among the top four, on 49 points after 27 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
U. Catolica, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruzeiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Union La Calera, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Concepción, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U. Catolica 1.8 xG, Union La Calera 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U. Catolica 60%, draw 24%, Union La Calera 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: U. Catolica 1–1 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U. Catolica60%fair 1.67 · @1.43
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @4.20
Union La Calera16%fair 6.16 · @6.60
2.82Expected goals
1.85U. Catolica xG
0.97Union La Calera xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 1.8 – 1.0 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U. Catolica to win✗
60%
1.67
1.43
Double chance
U. Catolica or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
U. Catolica (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Union La Calera +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
U. Catolica to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
U. Catolica ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
U. Catolica – last 6
WLWWLD
15 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Boca Juniors
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Palestino
6–1
W
30 Mar
@ Cobresal
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Nublense
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Everton de Vina
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 6
WWLDLW
14 Apr
vs Concepción
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs O'Higgins
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ D. La Serena
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs A. Italiano
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U. Catolica and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union La Calera 16%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
