Value bet: O'Higgins to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNublense to win40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.37
Nublense vs O'Higgins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 25 April: Nublense v O'Higgins in the Primera División, played at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; O'Higgins are 12th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Nublense, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Everton de Vina, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
O'Higgins, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sao Paulo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.3 xG, O'Higgins 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 40%, draw 26%, O'Higgins 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: O'Higgins to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–1 O'Higgins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
O'Higgins34%fair 2.96 · @3.35
2.52Expected goals
1.26Nublense xG
1.25O'Higgins xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.3 – 1.3 O'Higgins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Nublense (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
O'Higgins +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nublense to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nublense / FT Nublense
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.37
–
Recent results
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
O'Higgins – last 6
LLWWWW
14 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–2
L
11 Apr
vs Huachipato
0–2
L
8 Apr
vs Millonarios
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs A. Italiano
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Palestino
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and O'Higgins.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nublense vs O'Higgins?
On our numbers Nublense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and O'Higgins 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs O'Higgins?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs O'Higgins?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 O'Higgins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs O'Higgins?
Nublense vs O'Higgins (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
