Palestino vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
D. La Serena travel to face Palestino on Saturday 16 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Palestino are 7th, upper half, on 38 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Palestino, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportes Limache, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
D. La Serena, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Concepción, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palestino 1.7 xG, D. La Serena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palestino 51%, draw 25%, D. La Serena 24%.
Lower-risk option: Palestino or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palestino or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palestino 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palestino51%fair 1.95 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
D. La Serena24%fair 4.25 · @3.80
2.88Expected goals
1.70Palestino xG
1.19D. La Serena xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Palestino 1.7 – 1.2 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palestino to win✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Double chance
Palestino or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Palestino (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
D. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Palestino to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palestino / FT Palestino✓
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Palestino – last 6
WLDLWL
12 May
vs Deportes Limache
3–2
W
6 May
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs Gremio
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Concepción
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Colo Colo
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Atletico Torque
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
D. La Serena – last 6
DLDDWW
19 Apr
@ Concepción
3–3
D
26 Mar
@ A. Italiano
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Nublense
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palestino and D. La Serena.
What is the prediction for Palestino vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Palestino or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Palestino vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Palestino have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and D. La Serena 24%.
How many goals will there be in Palestino vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palestino vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Palestino 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Palestino vs D. La Serena?
Palestino vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
