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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

A. Italiano v D. La Serena: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
1–1
FT
A. Italiano 48%Draw 25%D. La Serena 27% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.20
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultA. Italiano to win ✗48% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

A. Italiano vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 13 June the Primera División brings A. Italiano against D. La Serena at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, A. Italiano are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37.

Current form

A. Italiano, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Universidad de Chile, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

D. La Serena, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union La Calera, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Mar 2026) it ended A. Italiano 3–1 D. La Serena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.5 xG, D. La Serena 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 48%, draw 25%, D. La Serena 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

A. Italiano48%fair 2.06 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.50
D. La Serena27%fair 3.71 · @3.45
2.72Expected goals
1.52A. Italiano xG
1.20D. La Serena xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.5 – 1.2 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✗48%2.061.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.57
Draw no betA. Italiano (draw no bet)64%1.56–
Asian handicapD. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreA. Italiano to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

A. Italiano – last 6

DDLWLL
7 Jun@ Universidad de Chile2–2D
1 Jun@ Palestino0–0D
27 May@ Olimpia1–3L
19 Mayvs Barracas Central2–0W
16 May@ Coquimbo Unido0–3L
6 Mayvs Vasco DA Gama1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

D. La Serena – last 6

LLWLDL
7 Junvs Union La Calera0–2L
30 Mayvs Colo Colo2–4L
24 Mayvs Deportes Limache4–1W
16 May@ Palestino1–5L
19 Apr@ Concepción3–3D
26 Mar@ A. Italiano1–3L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Mar 2026A. Italiano v D. La Serena3–1
A. Italiano vs D. La Serena head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and D. La Serena 27%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?

A. Italiano vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.