Value bet: Palestino to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNublense to win ✓38% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Nublense vs Palestino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Primera División brings Nublense against Palestino at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Palestino are 7th (upper half) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nublense, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to O'Higgins, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Palestino, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportes Santa Cruz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.3 xG, Palestino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 38%, draw 26%, Palestino 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Palestino to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–1 Palestino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense38%fair 2.61 · @2.16
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.25
Palestino36%fair 2.80 · @3.15
2.62Expected goals
1.30Nublense xG
1.31Palestino xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.3 – 1.3 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nublense to win✓
38%
2.61
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Nublense (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Nublense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Palestino to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palestino / FT Palestino✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Nublense – last 6
LWDWWW
13 Jul
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
10 Jul
vs O'Higgins
2–1
W
5 Jul
vs Curico Unido
2–2
D
1 Jul
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Rangers de Talca
1–0
W
26 Jun
vs Universidad de Concepcion
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Palestino – last 6
WWLDLW
11 Jul
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
4 Jul
@ Magallanes
2–1
W
30 Jun
@ A. Italiano
2–3
L
27 Jun
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs A. Italiano
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Magallanes
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and Palestino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nublense vs Palestino?
On our numbers Nublense have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Palestino 36%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Palestino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Palestino?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 Palestino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Palestino?
Nublense vs Palestino (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
