Cobresal vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union La Calera travel to face Cobresal on Saturday 1 August in the Primera División, with El Cobre the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Cobresal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 27 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cobresal, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Huachipato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Union La Calera, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Everton de Vina, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union La Calera, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Cobresal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cobresal 1.3 xG, Union La Calera 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cobresal 39%, draw 27%, Union La Calera 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cobresal 1–1 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cobresal39%fair 2.59 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.30
Union La Calera34%fair 2.90 · @2.88
2.59Expected goals
1.30Cobresal xG
1.29Union La Calera xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cobresal 1.3 – 1.3 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobresal to win✓
39%
2.59
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Cobresal (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Union La Calera +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Cobresal to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobresal / FT Cobresal✓
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.22
–
Recent results
Cobresal – last 6
DLDLLD
25 Jul
@ Huachipato
3–3
D
12 Jul
@ Antofagasta
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs Cobreloa
2–2
D
1 Jul
vs D. La Serena
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Antofagasta
0–1
L
24 Jun
@ D. La Serena
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 6
DWLDWW
28 Jul
vs Everton de Vina
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–0
W
9 Jul
vs Coquimbo Unido
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
2 Jul
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Santiago Wanderers
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobresal and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Cobresal have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union La Calera 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Cobresal 1–1 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cobresal vs Union La Calera?
Cobresal vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at El Cobre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
