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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

A. Italiano v Nublense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

A. Italiano

WLWLW
2–2
FT

Nublense

WWLWD
A. Italiano 42%Draw 27%Nublense 31% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.05
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultA. Italiano to win ✗42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

A. Italiano vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

A. Italiano welcome Nublense to Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida for a Primera División fixture on Tuesday 11 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, A. Italiano are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35.

Current form

A. Italiano, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universidad de Concepcion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Nublense, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rangers de Talca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Nublense 1–0 A. Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.3 xG, Nublense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 42%, draw 27%, Nublense 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–1 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

A. Italiano42%fair 2.39 · @2.28
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.25
Nublense31%fair 3.22 · @2.90
2.36Expected goals
1.31A. Italiano xG
1.05Nublense xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.3 – 1.0 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✗42%2.392.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Draw no betA. Italiano (draw no bet)57%1.74–
Asian handicapNublense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreA. Italiano to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

A. Italiano – last 6

WLWLWW
1 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
26 Julvs Universidad de Chile1–2L
11 Jul@ Magallanes1–0W
5 Jul@ Deportes Santa Cruz1–2L
30 Junvs Palestino3–2W
27 Junvs Magallanes2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nublense – last 6

WWLWDW
5 Augvs Rangers de Talca1–0W
26 Julvs Palestino2–0W
13 Jul@ O'Higgins0–1L
10 Julvs O'Higgins2–1W
5 Julvs Curico Unido2–2D
1 Jul@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Nublense v A. Italiano1–0
A. Italiano vs Nublense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Nublense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win A. Italiano vs Nublense?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nublense 31%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Nublense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Nublense?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs Nublense?

A. Italiano vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.