A. Italiano 57%Draw 24%Union La Calera 19%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.87
81%
Betarazi pick
A. Italiano or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultA. Italiano to win ✗57% · @1.88
Double chanceA. Italiano or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Primera División brings A. Italiano against Union La Calera at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, A. Italiano are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 27 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
A. Italiano, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Everton de Vina, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Union La Calera, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nublense, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Union La Calera 0–1 A. Italiano. The last 2 head-to-heads: A. Italiano 1 win, Union La Calera 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give A. Italiano 1.7 xG, Union La Calera 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – A. Italiano 57%, draw 24%, Union La Calera 19%.
Lower-risk option: A. Italiano or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: A. Italiano to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was A. Italiano or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: A. Italiano 1–0 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
A. Italiano57%fair 1.76 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.35
Union La Calera19%fair 5.30 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.70A. Italiano xG
0.87Union La Calera xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.7 – 0.9 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is A. Italiano or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union La Calera 19%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
