D. La Serena 63%Draw 20%Cobresal 17%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultD. La Serena to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceD. La Serena or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
D. La Serena vs Cobresal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Primera División brings D. La Serena against Cobresal at La Portada. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, D. La Serena are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Cobresal are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27.
Current form
D. La Serena, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Universidad de Concepcion, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cobresal, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Concepción, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended Cobresal 0–1 D. La Serena. The last 3 head-to-heads: D. La Serena 2 wins, Cobresal 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.7 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 2.1 xG, Cobresal 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 63%, draw 20%, Cobresal 17%.
Lower-risk option: D. La Serena or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: D. La Serena to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 2–0 Cobresal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
D. La Serena63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
Cobresal17%fair 5.99 · @4.10
3.05Expected goals
2.08D. La Serena xG
0.97Cobresal xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 2.1 – 1.0 Cobresal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cobresal 17%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 2–0 Cobresal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Cobresal?
D. La Serena vs Cobresal (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at La Portada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
