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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colo Colo v A. Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Monumental David Arellano
5–1
FT
Colo Colo 63%Draw 19%A. Italiano 18% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.87
63%
Betarazi pick

Colo Colo to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultColo Colo to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceColo Colo or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the Primera División brings Colo Colo against A. Italiano at Estadio Monumental David Arellano. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Colo Colo are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 27 matches; A. Italiano are 13th (lower half) with 30. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Colo Colo, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Union Espanola, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

A. Italiano, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Union La Calera, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Colo Colo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for A. Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colo Colo 1.9 xG, A. Italiano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colo Colo 63%, draw 19%, A. Italiano 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Colo Colo to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colo Colo 1–0 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colo Colo63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.00
A. Italiano18%fair 5.63 · @6.00
2.78Expected goals
1.91Colo Colo xG
0.87A. Italiano xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Colo Colo 1.9 – 0.9 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColo Colo to win ✓63%1.581.44
Double chanceColo Colo or draw ✓82%1.221.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.75
Draw no betColo Colo (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapColo Colo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreColo Colo to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultColo Colo ahead at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colo Colo / FT Colo Colo ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Colo Colo – last 6

WWDWWW
27 Augvs Union Espanola3–0W
23 Aug@ Universidad de Chile2–1W
16 Augvs O'Higgins2–2D
9 Aug@ Union La Calera2–1W
1 Aug@ Everton de Vina4–3W
25 Julvs Deportes Limache3–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

A. Italiano – last 6

DDDWLW
22 Augvs Union La Calera0–0D
16 Aug@ Everton de Vina1–1D
11 Augvs Nublense2–2D
1 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
26 Julvs Universidad de Chile1–2L
11 Jul@ Magallanes1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colo Colo and A. Italiano.

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colo Colo vs A. Italiano?

Our pick is Colo Colo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Colo Colo vs A. Italiano?

On our numbers Colo Colo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and A. Italiano 18%.

How many goals will there be in Colo Colo vs A. Italiano?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colo Colo vs A. Italiano?

Our predicted score is Colo Colo 1–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Colo Colo vs A. Italiano?

Colo Colo vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental David Arellano.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.