Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Union La Calera vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:15 WAT, Monday 31 August: Union La Calera v D. La Serena in the Primera División, played at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. In the table, Union La Calera are 16th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union La Calera, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with A. Italiano, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
D. La Serena, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Cobresal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended D. La Serena 0–2 Union La Calera. The last 2 head-to-heads: Union La Calera 1 win, D. La Serena 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.5 xG, D. La Serena 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 41%, draw 21%, D. La Serena 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: D. La Serena to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–1 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union La Calera41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.45
D. La Serena38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.45Union La Calera xG
1.39D. La Serena xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.5 – 1.4 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and D. La Serena 38%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Union La Calera vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
