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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Everton de Vina v D. La Serena: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Sausalito
3–2
FT
Everton de Vina 61%Draw 23%D. La Serena 17% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.93
83%
Betarazi pick

Everton de Vina or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultEverton de Vina to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceEverton de Vina or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Primera División brings Everton de Vina against D. La Serena at Sausalito. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Everton de Vina are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; D. La Serena are 9th (lower half) with 37. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Everton de Vina, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universidad de Chile, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

D. La Serena, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Universidad de Chile, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Everton de Vina 1.9 xG, D. La Serena 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Everton de Vina 61%, draw 23%, D. La Serena 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Everton de Vina or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Everton de Vina or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton de Vina 1–0 D. La Serena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Everton de Vina61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.60
D. La Serena17%fair 6.00 · @4.00
2.87Expected goals
1.94Everton de Vina xG
0.93D. La Serena xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Everton de Vina 1.9 – 0.9 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEverton de Vina to win ✓61%1.651.70
Double chanceEverton de Vina or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.62
Draw no betEverton de Vina (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapEverton de Vina -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreEverton de Vina to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultEverton de Vina ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Everton de Vina / FT Everton de Vina ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Everton de Vina – last 6

DWLWWD
27 Sep@ Universidad de Chile1–1D
12 Sep@ Nublense3–1W
5 Sepvs U. Catolica0–1L
29 Aug@ Deportes Limache3–0W
25 Augvs Universidad de Concepcion3–1W
16 Augvs A. Italiano1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

D. La Serena – last 6

LWWDWD
13 Sepvs Universidad de Chile0–3L
6 Sepvs Nublense2–1W
31 Aug@ Union La Calera1–0W
23 Augvs Cobresal3–3D
15 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion2–0W
8 Aug@ Coquimbo Unido1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Everton de Vina and D. La Serena.

Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

Our pick is Everton de Vina or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

On our numbers Everton de Vina have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and D. La Serena 17%.

How many goals will there be in Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

Our predicted score is Everton de Vina 1–0 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena?

Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Sausalito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.