U. Catolica v A. Italiano Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultU. Catolica to win ✗64% · @1.55

Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✓83% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

U. Catolica vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 29 October: U. Catolica v A. Italiano in the Primera División, played at San Carlos de Apoquindo. In the table, U. Catolica are 3rd, among the top four, on 49 points after 27 matches; A. Italiano are 13th (lower half) with 30. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

U. Catolica, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Union La Calera, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

A. Italiano, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huachipato, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours U. Catolica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for A. Italiano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give U. Catolica 2.1 xG, A. Italiano 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – U. Catolica 64%, draw 19%, A. Italiano 17%.
Lower-risk option: U. Catolica or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was U. Catolica to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: U. Catolica 2–0 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

U. Catolica64%fair 1.56 · @1.55

Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.80

A. Italiano17%fair 6.01 · @4.80

3.04Expected goals

2.09U. Catolica xG

0.95A. Italiano xG

58%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

1–010%

2–110%

1–110%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: U. Catolica 2.1 – 1.0 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	U. Catolica to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.55
Double chance	U. Catolica or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.67
Draw no bet	U. Catolica (draw no bet)	79%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	U. Catolica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.71	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	U. Catolica to score first ✓	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	U. Catolica ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica ✗	41%	2.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.07	–

U. Catolica – last 6

LDDWWW

25 Oct	@ Union La Calera	1–3	L
27 Sep	vs Union La Calera	0–0	D
24 Sep	@ Union La Calera	1–1	D
13 Sep	@ Palestino	3–2	W
5 Sep	@ Everton de Vina	1–0	W
1 Sep	vs O'Higgins	3–2	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

A. Italiano – last 6

DLDWWL

24 Oct	vs Huachipato	1–1	D
26 Sep	@ Colo Colo	0–1	L
23 Sep	vs Colo Colo	0–0	D
14 Sep	vs O'Higgins	1–0	W
5 Sep	@ Concepción	1–0	W
30 Aug	@ Colo Colo	1–5	L

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Primera División table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	27	19	4	4	+29	61
2	Universidad de Chile	27	15	6	6	+25	51
3	U. Catolica	27	15	4	8	+19	49
4	Deportes Limache	27	12	4	11	+8	40
5	Everton de Vina	27	11	7	9	+8	40
6	Coquimbo Unido	26	11	5	10	+4	38
7	Palestino	27	11	5	11	+1	38
8	Concepción	27	11	5	11	0	38
9	D. La Serena	27	9	10	8	-2	37
10	Nublense	27	9	8	10	-10	35
11	Huachipato	26	9	6	11	-7	33
12	O'Higgins	27	9	4	14	-10	31
13	A. Italiano	27	7	9	11	-8	30
14	Cobresal	27	7	6	14	-11	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	27	7	5	15	-27	26
16	Union La Calera	27	6	6	15	-19	24

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?

Our pick is U. Catolica to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?

On our numbers U. Catolica have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and A. Italiano 17%.

How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?

Our predicted score is U. Catolica 2–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is U. Catolica vs A. Italiano?

U. Catolica vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at San Carlos de Apoquindo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

U. Catolica v A. Italiano: numbers & prediction

U. Catolica

A. Italiano

U. Catolica to win