Universidad de Chile 64%Draw 24%Nublense 12%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.65
64%
Betarazi pick
Universidad de Chile to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.45
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad de Chile welcome Nublense to Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos for a Primera División fixture on Monday 12 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Universidad de Chile are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Universidad de Chile, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antofagasta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Nublense, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over D. Puerto Montt, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Universidad de Chile, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Nublense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad de Chile 1.8 xG, Nublense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad de Chile 64%, draw 24%, Nublense 12%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad de Chile to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad de Chile 1–0 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad de Chile64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.90
Nublense12%fair 8.60 · @5.50
2.46Expected goals
1.81Universidad de Chile xG
0.65Nublense xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.8 – 0.6 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Universidad de Chile (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Universidad de Chile -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Universidad de Chile to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.45
–
Recent results
Universidad de Chile – last 6
LDWWLL
7 Oct
@ Antofagasta
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Everton de Vina
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ D. La Serena
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Coquimbo Unido
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Colo Colo
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
WLLLLL
26 Sep
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Everton de Vina
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ D. La Serena
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Deportes Limache
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Concepción
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Chile and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nublense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
