Fortaleza FC 30%Draw 27%America de Cali 43%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.37
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: America de Cali to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.42
Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza FC welcome America de Cali to Estadio Municipal de Cota for a Primera A fixture on Thursday 23 April (02:30 WAT). In the table, Fortaleza FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; America de Cali are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza FC, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Águilas Doradas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
America de Cali, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Millonarios, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Fortaleza FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza FC 0.9 xG, America de Cali 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza FC 30%, draw 27%, America de Cali 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: America de Cali to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza FC 1–1 America de Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza FC30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
America de Cali43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
2.31Expected goals
0.94Fortaleza FC xG
1.37America de Cali xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 0.9 – 1.4 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
Attack vs Primera A average
-19%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.82
1.47
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
43%
2.32
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Fortaleza FC +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
America de Cali to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Fortaleza FC – last 6
WDDLLL
19 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Millonarios
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Junior
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
America de Cali – last 6
WWDWLD
20 Apr
vs Millonarios
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Macara
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Llaneros
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortaleza FC and America de Cali.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and America de Cali 43%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali?
Fortaleza FC vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Cota.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
