Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗65% · @1.38
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Primera A brings Independiente Medellin against Deportivo Pereira at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.9 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 65%, draw 22%, Deportivo Pereira 13%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 2–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.20
Deportivo Pereira13%fair 7.66 · @9.10
2.75Expected goals
1.95Independiente Medellin xG
0.80Deportivo Pereira xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.9 – 0.8 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pereira
Attack vs Primera A average
+16%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+19%
Our expected goals here
2.03
0.90
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Medellin -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin
No recent results on record.
Deportivo Pereira
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Pereira 13%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 2–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
