Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Once Caldas travel to face Deportes Tolima on Sunday 15 February in the Primera A, with Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro the venue – the ball rolls at 22:20 WAT. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Once Caldas are 8th (upper half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.2 xG, Once Caldas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 44%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 27%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Tolima or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportes Tolima or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima44%fair 2.27 · @2.14
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.00
Once Caldas27%fair 3.69 · @3.75
2.09Expected goals
1.20Deportes Tolima xG
0.89Once Caldas xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.2 – 0.9 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.94
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
44%
2.27
2.14
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Once Caldas +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima
No recent results on record.
Once Caldas
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Deportes Tolima or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Once Caldas 27%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas?
Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 22:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
